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Orange County Homes Sales and Prices Still Rising !

As reported in in OC Register, July 23, 2010

Orange County home sales and selling prices remain ahead of a year-ago after the passing of a deadline for a federal homebuying tax break — then that deadline was extended.

For the 22 business days ending July 8 – DataQuick’s latest homebuying report — Orange County saw …

For the 22 business days ending July 8
SlicePriceYr. agoSalesYr. ago
Houses $515,000 +4.8% 2,035 +1.9%
Condos $300,000 -2.0% 929 +7.4%
New $524,500 +23.6% 309 +122.3%
All O.C. $447,500 +6.5% 3,273 +9.0%
  • $447,500 median selling price that is +6.5% vs. a year ago yet -31% below June 2007’s peak of $645,000.
  • The most recent median is 21% above the cyclical low hit in January 2009 at $370,000 — so the median has recouped 28% of the $275,000 price drop from the peak.
  • The median selling price of a single-family homes is 30% less than their peak pricing (June ‘07) while condos sell 36% below their peak in March 2006. Builder prices for new homes are 39% below their February ‘05 top.
  • Single-family homes were 72% more expensive than condos in this period vs. 61% a year ago. From 1990-2009, the average house/condo gap was 58%.
  • In this most recent period, O.C. shoppers bought 3,273 residences — that is +9% vs. year-ago buying activity. This current sales pace is 91% of the average 3,597 homes sold per month in the 20 years ended in 2009.
  • Builder’s new homes sales were 9% of all residences sold in the period vs. 5% a year ago. From 1990-2009, builders did 14% of the selling.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

 SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

 

Orange County Home prices to RISE 6.75%, study predicts

A Santa Ana company makes a 2009-10 estimate for county real estate.  Santa Ana-based First American CoreLogic projects a 6.75 percent increase to occur in local home prices over the 12 months ending in October 2010, a smaller increase than those predicted in past months.

 Last month First American projected a 10.94 percent increase in house prices by September. Before that it projected a 9.53 percent gain by August.

 A UCLA forecaster has projected that home prices could climb as much as 16 percent in 2010, while others expect prices to increase by no more than 2 percent to 3 percent, if at all.

 In addition, First American’s Home Price Index shows:

 House prices declined 5 percent in October from the year before, compared with a 6.7 percent year-over-year price drop in September.

 When sales of distressed houses are excluded, the index of house prices dropped 5.8 percent in October. Distressed sales tend to pull home prices up because of heightened demand for those residences.

 Orange County’s October price compares with a 10.8 percent year-over-year drop in Los Angeles County, a 9.6 percent drop statewide and a 7.8 percent drop nationally.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

 

 

Orange County Home Prices On The Rise !

Bucking a national trend, Orange County home prices rose 0.3% in October from September, the fifth month-to-month price gain in a row, according to the latest Case-Shiller Home Price Index out today.

And while local prices still were down 6.3% from October 2008, that’s the smallest percentage decline in more than two years. October figures marked the 13th month of improved year-over-year readings in the index.

In October 2008, home prices in the two counties were falling at an record 28% annual rate. Local values fell fell 43% from the market peak in 2006 to a bottom in April.

Nationally, the index showed:

  • Home prices were flat in October vs. September in both Case-Shiller’s 10-city and 20-city composites. That ended a string of 4 up months in a row.
  • But the annual percentage decline was smaller than preceding months, marking the ninth month of smaller year-over-year declines.
  • The 10-city composite had a 6.4% drop in home prices from the year before, while the 20-city composite saw prices drop 7.3%
  • All 20 metro areas measured showed improvements in their annual rates of decline.
  • LA/OC plus 6 other U.S. metro areas — San Diego, San Francisco, Seattle, Portland, Phoenix and Detroit — had month-to-month price gains in October.
  • Las Vegas remained the one market that “has not seen a glimmer of hope so far this year,” with prices falling for 38 consecutive months and a peak-to-bottom reading of -55.4%.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments. Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

 

Orange County SHORT SALE Pitfall: Buyers are Walking...

” ‘Subject to lender approval’ is the real estate contract clause that makes short sales notoriously tough to deal with. In an equity sale, buyer and seller deal with each other in an arm’s length transaction and when certain terms are met, usually within 30 days, the escrow closes and title is transferred. In a short sale, the lender must approve the whole transaction which makes the sale more lengthy and complicated.

Many short sale transactions “fall out” because the buyer backs out of the deal after a period of time; usually this occurs due to unrealistic expectations. It is imperative that the real estate professional inform the buyer of realistic timeframes as soon as the transaction is initiated. For short sale transactions to be successful, buyers need to come into the deal fully aware of the vicissitudes of the short sale transaction. As in all aspects of real estate, education and awareness are of the utmost importance. The real estate professionals involved in the transaction need to be utterly candid to all parties and set proper expectations throughout the process.

There are many reasons why buyers will walk away from a short sale transaction. As mentioned above, many buyer’s expectations on short sale timeframes do not jibe with actual short sale transaction timeframes. Thus, they get impatient and nix the deal before it gets completed. Second, buyers walk due to non-short sale specialists handling the transaction. As a buyer, one needs to be keenly aware of who is transacting the short sale. If the real estate professionals involved in the short sale have no experience in short sale transactions, the deal is doomed from its inception. The best case scenario is to have a professional short sale negotiator involved in the process, facilitating it through completion. Along this same vein, buyers have a tendency to walk due to lack of follow up from the professionals involved in the short sale. In more than any other real estate transaction, short sales requires constant due diligence and continuous follow up.

Lastly, many buyers walk due to their perception, and often rightly so, that the sellers and their agent are not fully committed to them. For example, say a short sale offer from a buyer is approved by the seller and submitted to the lender at $500,000. Many sellers will keep this offer “in pocket” until a better offer comes along. If and when the better offer occurs, the seller will find a way to extract themselves from the original deal and move forward with the higher tendered offer.

The best business practice is for all parties to do their due diligence on each other. As a seller serious about closing a short sale, one should always choose the best possible buyer and fully commit to closing with that particular buyer. Too many listing agents and their sellers commit to a buyer prematurely, then either simply hope the deal will close as is or will follow the above scenario of waiting for a better offer and then re-submitting to the lender. “

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

 

NEGATIVE EQUITY Orange County Homes DECREASES

Is the market starting to turn ?

Read the article below regarding the decrease in Orange County homes with mortgages larger than the value; aka "NEGATIVE EQUITY"

Online real estate tracker Zillow reports that the share of Orange County single-family homes with mortgages larger than the current value of the home — so-called “negative equity” or “underwater” — fell to 14% percent in the third quarter, down from 20.7% in Q2.

  • That follows the nationwide trend: 21% of U.S. homes had negative equity in the third quarter vs. 23% in Q2.
  • Zillow credits the improvements to stabilizing home values and more underwater homeowners losing their homes to foreclosure.
  • Zillow puts O.C. home depreciation for Q3 at 4.46% a year. Year-over-year home values in the United States declined for the 11th consecutive quarter, falling 6.9%.
  • 22.3% of O.C. home sales involved foreclosures vs. 21.4% nationally. Merced? 72%! Vegas? 67%!
  • 19.2% of O.C. homes sold in September were sold at a loss.
  • 26% of O.C. homes have had their values increase, by Zillow’s math, in the past 12 months.

Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries on nationwide conditions: “With the extension of the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit and a new $6,500 credit for some repeat homebuyers, we could see a bump in demand that could partially offset the increased supply of foreclosed homes on the market. The credits are likely to bring continued stabilization in prices over this period, versus the price declines that we almost certainly would see otherwise. Whether this stabilization will be sustainable after the tax credits expire, however, is yet to be seen. Some of the demand that we are buying with tax credits we are also borrowing from the future, and will likely have to pay for later in the form of weaker-than-normal demand.”

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

 

AND THE MARKET GOES ON......

Like the song says "And The Beat Goes ON"..... so does this housing market !

ORANGE COUNTY STATISTICS THRU MLS 9/4/09

                                This Week   Last Week   Last Year    

 

New Listings               702               793               732

Solds                         1277             1442              851

Days on the market      64                67                 72

Inventory                      8318            8399             13556

Short Sale Listings       2119            2151              4250

REO Listings               351              321                1158

 

And......Mortgage rates are slightly lower this week. 

Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 5.07 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending September 10, 2009, down from last week when it averaged 5.08 percent.

 

Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.93 percent. The 15-year FRM this week averaged 4.50 percent with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 4.54 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.54 percent. Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 4.51 percent this week, with an average 0.5 point, down from last week when it averaged 4.59 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 5.87 percent.

 

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

 

 

 

SUPPLY OF ORANGE COUNTY HOMES SHRINKING ?

IS THE ORANGE COUNTY HOME SUPPLY SHIRINKING?

According to statistics compared to this time  in 2007 the supply of Orange County homes for sale is DOWN 52%; compared to "2 weeks" ago the supply is down 2%.

Even though we are experiencing a SELLERS market, prices are not appreciating.  WHY NOT?....Mainly because we are currently in a lender-controlled seller's market; short sales and lender owned properties currently have a monopoly on the market.

Share your thoughts with me.....

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

 

 

 

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