Zen's Real Estate Blog

Zen Ziejewski

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Free Fall of Home Costs Slow Down

Newfound signs of stability in the housing market could still be threatened by rising foreclosures and slow efforts to stop them, according to two reports released Tuesday.

   The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller index of 20 major metro areas showed the smallest monthly decline since June 2008. The index tumbled by 18 percent in April from the year before, but for the third month in a row it was not a record decline. Yearly losses in 13 metro areas improved compared with March.

   For the Los Angeles/Orange County area, the April decline was 21 percent from the year before. In March, the decline from the year before was 22 percent.

   But rising foreclosures fueled by layoffs could derail a meaningful turnaround. The number of homeowners at least two months behind or in foreclosure jumped in the first quarter from the previous quarter, a Treasury Department report said Tuesday.Defaults from borrowers with good credit contributed to much of the increase in seriously delinquent loans, echoing data last month from the Mortgage Bankers Association. As the recession claims more jobs, borrowers in good standing are more likely to miss their mortgage payments.

   Efforts to modify home loans have been slow and easily outpaced by the number of new delinquencies. In the first quarter, loan companies modified 185,156 mortgages, up 55 percent from the previous quarter. But the number of foreclosures in proc- ess increased to 844,389, up 22 percent.

   Nearly 1 in 4 borrowers who received a mortgage payment reduction fell behind again within six months, the report found. Four months ago, the Obama administration detailed its “Making Home Affordable” initiative. But progress has been slow.

   To put pressure on those lenders, the community group ACORN held 15 protests around the country Tuesday to call for the companies to sign onto the initiative.

   Stabilizing home prices is key to helping stem the foreclosure crisis. “Prices are still dropping. They’re just no longer in free fall,” Newport said.

   Hardest hit remain Phoenix and Las Vegas, where home prices have lost more than half their value since their peaks.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

Fed to keep buying mortgage securities

The Federal Reserve today said it will continue to buy up to $1.25 trillion in mortgage securities by the end of this year and that it is maintaining its target for a benchmark interest rate at between zero and 0.25 percent.

Some market watchers have hoped the Fed would buy more securities than previously announced to push down mortgage rates, which are above 5%.

But the Fed also has to face concerns a $1 trillion expansion of its balance sheet over the past year to $2.07 trillion will fuel inflation, drive up interest rates, and hamper any potential economic recovery. The Fed said:

The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving economic outlook and conditions in financial markets. The Federal Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

Fed to keep buying mortgage securities

The Federal Reserve today said it will continue to buy up to $1.25 trillion in mortgage securities by the end of this year and that it is maintaining its target for a benchmark interest rate at between zero and 0.25 percent.

Some market watchers have hoped the Fed would buy more securities than previously announced to push down mortgage rates, which are above 5%.

But the Fed also has to face concerns a $1 trillion expansion of its balance sheet over the past year to $2.07 trillion will fuel inflation, drive up interest rates, and hamper any potential economic recovery. The Fed said:

The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving economic outlook and conditions in financial markets. The Federal Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

Fed to keep buying mortgage securities

The Federal Reserve today said it will continue to buy up to $1.25 trillion in mortgage securities by the end of this year and that it is maintaining its target for a benchmark interest rate at between zero and 0.25 percent.

Some market watchers have hoped the Fed would buy more securities than previously announced to push down mortgage rates, which are above 5%.

But the Fed also has to face concerns a $1 trillion expansion of its balance sheet over the past year to $2.07 trillion will fuel inflation, drive up interest rates, and hamper any potential economic recovery. The Fed said:

The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving economic outlook and conditions in financial markets. The Federal Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

Federal Tax Credits Used towards Home Buyers Down Payment

The California Association of Realtors issued news from HUD today stating that home buyers will now be able to use their federal tax credit toward the down payment of their home.

For more information visit the link I've posted below.

http://www.car.org/newsstand/newsreleases/fhadownpayment/  

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

Longer Stay for Tenants of Foreclosed Homes

Effective immediately, an REO lender or buyer whoacquires title through a foreclosure sale must give at least a 90-day notice to terminate a bona fide tenant as defined.  A 90-day notice to terminate is sufficient for a month-to-month tenant or if a new owner will occupy the property as a primary residence at the end of the 90 days.  Otherwise, a tenant with a one year or other fixed-term lease with a remaining lease term exceeding 90 days can stay in the premises until the remaining lease term ends.  This new 90-day notice requirement applies to foreclosures of a federally-related mortgage loan or residential real property, except for properties under rent control, rent-subsidized programs (such as Section 8), or other state laws that provide additional protections for tenants.  This law expires on December 31, 2012.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

 

Real Estate License Fees Rise as a Result of Slump

If your real estate license expires this month, renew now or it’ll cost you about $250 more to renew it in July.

Effective July 1, fees for real estate licenses, license renewals and license exams are being increased to the maximum allowed by law. Hence, fees are going to double for salespersons and go up at least 80% for brokers. (See chart)

The reason? The real estate downturn is taking a toll on the California Department of Real Estate, too.

DRE, as the department is called, gets all its money for its 344-person department from license fees, license exam fees and subdivision fees (which are going up, too). But all those things are down because fewer people are taking the license test or getting licenses. And development fees? Well, homebuilding has been all but mothballed.

All these things have taken a $13.7 million bite out of the department’s $44 million budget.

For example, license exams have dropped from around 22,000 in March 2005 to just under 2,900 this past March. And the number of licensees dropped in March for a 14th straight month.

To make matters worse, the state Legislature and the Govenator have borrowed about $10.9 million from DRE reserves. If the state doesn’t repay that loan, and if the fees don’t go up, DRE projects its reserves will dry up and it’ll run out of money next year. In just over four years, DRE would be almost $88 million in the hole.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

Home Sales Index Sees Largest Increase in 7 Years

The pending home sales index, rose 6.7% to 90.3 in April from 84.6 in March, the largest increase in more than seven years and the third consecutive monthly increase, according to the National Association of Realtors. It was far better than an expected 0.5% increase, and is 3.2% higher than a year prior.

Pending sales, which indicate that a contract has been signed but the transaction hasn't been closed, got a boost from housing affordability conditions, low mortgage rates, and now also the $8,000 first-time buyer tax credit are beginning to impact the market, said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist in a release.

"[Pending home sales] were rather strong -- a lot stronger than anticipated -- and it's consistent with most of the economic data that things are improving," says Peter Cardillo, chief market economist for Avalon Partners. "In this particular case, it's on the plus side, which is good."

It certainly looks good, agreed Brian Bethune, chief U.S. financial economist at IHS Global Insight, "but the actual existing-home sales haven't really done much, so that leads me to believe that perhaps people just aren't getting approved for mortgages or there are more delays going through the process."

Last week, the NAR reported that existing-home sales increased modestly in April to 4.68 million from a downwardly revised 4.55 million in March, roughly in line with expectations. All in all, existing-home sales, including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 2.9%, while single-family home sales rose 2.5%.

But nonetheless, pending home sales could continue to increase sharply. "Since first-time buyers must finalize their purchase by Nov. 30 to get the credit, we expect greater activity in the months ahead, and that should spark more sales by repeat buyers," said NAR's Yun in the release on Tuesday.

"There's a lot of inventory, and no doubt that lending practices have tightened, and unless you have stellar credit you won't get approved for a mortgage," says Avalon Partner's Cardillo. "But there are a lot of people who are taking advantage; they do have good credit and are out there buying, and of course the credits that the government has given are helping."

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

Median home prices fell nationwide in 1Q

Home prices fell in nearly nine out of every 10 U.S. cities in the first quarter of this year as first-time buyers looking for bargains dominated the market.

The National Association of Realtors said Tuesday that median sales prices of existing homes declined in 134 out of 152 metropolitan areas compared with the same period a year ago. Prices rose in the other 18 cities.

Nationwide, sales of foreclosures and other distressed properties made up about half of the market.

Home sales fell in all but six states -- Nevada, California, Arizona, Florida, Virginia and Minnesota -- where buyers have been able to snap up foreclosures at a deep discount.

Sales more than doubled in Nevada, rose 81 percent in California and grew 50 percent in Arizona -- signaling that the worst may be over for those distressed states.

Still, the median sales price nationwide was $169,900, down 13.8 percent from a year ago. The median price is the midpoint, which means half of the homes sold for more and half for less.

The biggest drop, of more than 50 percent, was in Fort Myers, Fla. Prices fell 40 percent or more in Saginaw, Mich.; Akron, Ohio; San Francisco; San Jose, Calif.; Phoenix; Sarasota, Fla. and Riverside, Calif.

The biggest price gain, of more than 21 percent, was in Cumberland, Md. The only other double-digit increase was in Davenport, Iowa, which saw the median price climb nearly 14 percent.

Lawrence Yun, the trade group's chief economist, said the $8,000 tax credit for first-time buyers included in the economic stimulus package signed by President Barack Obama earlier this year should boost sales.

"We expect a measurable increase in home sales during the second half of the year, which would help stabilize prices in most areas," Yun said in a statement.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

The Case for Buying in this Market Now

Randy Johnson, president of Independence Mortgage Co. in Newport Beach, author of “How to Save Thousands of Dollars on Your Home Mortgage” and a mortgage broker since 1983, answers questions.

Q. I am ready to buy now but am afraid that values may drop even more. What do you recommend?

A. The “average” value is developed from the whole range of sales. If the average value has dropped by, say, 20 percent, you ought to be able to buy some home at less than average, say 25 percent lower than what it would have been before the decline. The average could drop further and not affect you because you bought lower than average. Someone else may buy a home that is only 15 percent lower than before. Between the two of you, the average is 20 percent, but you got a deal. It also doesn’t mean he was wrong as the home may better meet his needs. Ten years from now, you will both be happy you bought.

No one can predict when the market will bottom out until a year later when you can look at a chart and see when the bottom was reached. It may turn out to be this month.

Bottom line: if you find a home that makes sense for you, you ought to buy now when rates are so low.

Q. I own my house and might rent it out to my daughter. I would like to move to the Murrieta/Lake Elsinore/Riverside area. With no down payment or maybe 3 percent, is this a good time to buy? I would like to know a good and trusted mortgage company, bank or credit union.

A. I don’t know the particulars of the market there but I believe it has been pretty battered, which should mean good opportunities for buyers. As to a lender, I’d get references from friends. Someone will have dealt with a hero. That’s who you should use, too.

Your thoughts and feedback on this topic are greatly appreciated. Please feel free to post your comments.

Keeping you informed about the Orange County real estate market, economy and life in the OC is what I'm committed to doing.

For more great Orange County market insight and industry news visit Laguna Niguel Real Estate or view the Orange County Market Trends at Orange County Real Estate.

Listen to Zen's Laguna Niguel Real Estate Podcast available 24/7.

SEARCH ORANGE COUNTY'S BEST HOMES at Orange County MLS Home Search

Contact Information

Photo of Zen Ziejewski Real Estate
Zen Ziejewski
Prudential California Realty
2 Ritz Carlton Dr. Suite 201
Monarch Beach CA 92629
949-922-2200

DRE license # 00998118